U.S. tech stocks were lower again on Dec. 12 as investors continued to reassess the sector’s rapid run-up.
Oracle (ORCL) shares sank 10.83% on Dec. 11 and slipped another 4.66% on Dec. 12, extending a sharp selloff that followed the company’s latest earnings report. The weakness, combined with Broadcom’s (AVGO) pullback despite delivering a solid quarter, has added to growing concerns of an AI bubble.
Oracle, the 48-year-old cloud and database software company, reported quarterly results on Dec. 10 that fell short of analyst revenue expectations and offered little clarity on the pace at which heavy AI investments will translate into profits.
The stock has dropped more than 40% from its September peak.
Oracle stock is up 14% year-to-date.
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Oracle’s earnings suggest a growing concern
On Dec. 10, Oracle posted fiscal Q2 revenue that fell short of Wall Street expectations, even as demand for its artificial intelligence infrastructure continued to surge.
The database software maker reported adjusted earnings of $2.26 a share, above the $1.64 consensus estimate, while revenue came in at $16.06 billion, below analysts’ expectations of $16.21 billion.
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The company’s software revenue slipped 3% to $5.88 billion, compared with the $6.06 billion analysts had expected.
For the current quarter, Oracle forecast adjusted earnings per share of $1.70 to $1.74, in line with the $1.72 LSEG consensus.
Oracle’s remaining performance obligations (RPO) soared 438% to $523 billion, topping the $501.8 billion average analyst estimate. This was “highlighted by new commitments from Meta, NVIDIA, and others,” Oracle Principal Financial Officer Doug Kehring said in a statement.
RPO reflects future contracted revenue, acting as a strong indicator of growth momentum. Investors are concerned about its conversion to actual revenue amid high spending.
Oracle declines OpenAI data center delay
Oracle on Dec. 12 pushed back against a Bloomberg report that said the company would complete several data centers for OpenAI in 2028, a year later than the previously expected 2027 timeline.
The report cited labor and materials shortages as the reason for the potential delay. Oracle shares slid as much as 6.5% on Thursday, hitting an intraday low of $185.98.
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An Oracle spokesperson told CNBC that the company has not delayed any projects tied to its OpenAI commitments.
“Site selection and delivery timelines were established in close coordination with OpenAI following execution of the agreement and were jointly agreed,” the spokesperson said. “There have been no delays to any sites required to meet our contractual commitments, and all milestones remain on track.”
OpenAI disclosed in September that it had signed a partnership with Oracle valued at more than $300 billion over the next five years.
On Dec. 11, OpenAI released the latest AI model, GPT 5.2. Investment firm Jefferies said the latest OpenAI model upgrade could bring upside for OpenAI, as well as Oracle, given its “high OpenAI exposure,” according to The Fly.
Analysts lower Oracle stock target, but leave a positive note
Citi analysts lowered their price target on Oracle to $370 from $375 while reiterating a buy rating, according to a research note sent to TheStreet.
“These metrics all offer encouraging forward-looking signals on where the business is going, and the health/broad-based demand for AI infrastructure, despite underwhelming near-term revisions,” the analysts wrote.
Citi said it is keeping its near-term estimates conservative, while raising its fiscal 2027 forecasts and leaving its projections for fiscal 2028 through 2030 unchanged.
Citi forecasts Oracle’s revenue and earnings per share growing at compound annual rates of roughly 30% and 27%, respectively, through fiscal 2030, “which is among the fastest in software/tech and the broader market,” the analysts wrote.
UBS also cut its price target on Oracle to $325 from $380 while maintaining a buy rating, saying the company’s $523 billion deal backlog and the potential for revenue conversion in the second half of fiscal 2027 continue to support its bullish view.
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